Optical Networking Opportunities in the 5G Infrastructure Market: 2019 to 2028

Report # CIR-5GI-0119
Published Jan 16, 2019

Join us on Tuesday, February 26th at 11:00 AM for CIR’s webinar on the 5G Infrastructure Market.  Person’s interested in registering can do so at  https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/6238615079125913347

Since CIR published its first report on optical networking in the 5G infrastructure market in 2017, a lot has happened in the 5G world.  In particular, expectations for subscriber numbers have grown, leading CIR’s more bullish expectation for PON, WDM, Carrier Ethernet, space division multiplexing and optical cable in 5G-focused backhaul and fronthaul nets.

The report includes profiles of 17 mobile operators with advanced 5G strategies, showing how these carriers are planning to deploy optical networks and who their suppliers of hardware and cable will be.  It also includes analyses of the leading optical equipment and optical cable suppliers for the 5G infrastructure.  There are also detailed 10-year forecasts in volume (ports) and value ($ Millions) terms of both optical equipment and cable with breakouts by type of technology, fronthaul vs. backhaul deployment, and geography.

Executive SummaryChapter One: Introduction 1.1 Background of this Report 1.1.1 How will the 5G Optical Infrastructure be Built? 1.1.2 The Need for 5G Optical Infrastructure 1.1.3 Rebuilding the Mobile Infrastructure for 5G: Who is it Good For? 1.2 Objectives and Scope of this Report: 1.3 Methodology of Report: 1.4 Forecast Methodology 1.5 Plan of this ReportChapter Two: Ten-Year Forecasts for Optical Networking Equipment Markets for 5G Infrastructure 2.1 Forecasting Methodology 2.1.1 New Equipment/Fiber Markets vs. Replacement 2.1.2 Derivation of Revenue Forecasts 2.1.3 5G Subscribers: Uncertainties 2.2 What 5G Infrastructure Means to the Optical Networking Business 2.2.1 5G Subscribers: Early Trials, Subscriber Base Evolution and Optical Infrastructure 2.3 Evolution of the 5G Infrastructure: Backhaul and Fronthaul 2.3.1 5G Backhaul will need more Dark Fiber 2.3.2 Transition to 5G Cells -- Impact on 5G backhaul 2.3.3 Evolving Meanings of Backhaul and Fronthaul 2.3.4 The Future of Fronthaul Technology 2.3.5 CPRI and its successors 2.4 Global 5G Optical Equipment by Equipment Type and Network Type 2.5 Ten-Year Forecast for PON Equipment for 5G Infrastructure 2.5.1 A Note on PONs and 5G as a Replacement for fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) 2.5.2 PON Varieties and 5G 2.5.3 Ten-Year Forecasts of PONs for 5G 2.6 Ten-Year Forecast for WDM Equipment for 5G 2.6.1 Data Rates Supported by WDM for 5G Infrastructure 2.6.2 A role for Fronthaul Processors and OTN 2.6.3 Ten-Year Forecasts of WDM for 5G 2.7 Ten-Year Forecast for SDM Equipment for 5G Infrastructure 2.7.1 Ten-Year Forecasts of SDM for 5G 2.8 Ten-Year Forecast of Carrier Ethernet for 5G 2.9 Ten-Year Forecast of Optical Cable for 5G Infrastructure 2.9.1 Deployment of Optical Cable: Operational Issues 2.9.2 Ten-year Forecasts 2.10 Alternatives to Optical Networking in the 5G Infrastructure 2.10.1 Free Space Optics 2.10.2 Wireless Backhaul for 5G: Microwave and mmWave 2.11 5G Infrastructure in the APAC Region: Ten-year Forecasts 2.11.1 Impact of High Mobile Penetration Rates 2.11.2 Many 5G Trials already in Place 2.11.3 Prestige Projects and National Agendas 2.11.4 China 2.11.5 Taiwan 2.11.6 Korea 2.12.7 Japan 2.12 5G Infrastructure in North America: Ten-year forecasts 2.12.1 United States 2.13 5G Infrastructure in Europe: Ten-year Forecasts 2.13.1 Funding limitations in Europe 2.13.2 Impact of Brexit 2.14 Key Points from this ChapterChapter Three: Deployment Strategies and Supplier Relationships for Optical Networks and Cable in 5G Infrastructure: Sixteen Carriers 3.1 AT&T 3.2 Verizon 3.3 T-Mobile/Sprint 3.4 Charter Communications, Inc. 3.5 EE 3.6 Three UK 3.7 Vodafone 3.8 Orange 3.9 O2 3.10 Softbank 3.11 KDD 3.12 LG Uplus 3.13 SK Telecom 3.14 KT Corporation 3.15 China Mobile 3.16 China Telecom 3.17 China UnicomChapter Four: Supply Chain Analysis for Optical Networking in the 5G Infrastructure 4.1 Ericsson 4.1.1 5G-related Products 4.1.2 5G Alliances 4.1.3 CIR’s Perspective on Ericsson 4.2 Nokia 4.2.1 5G-related Products 4.2.2 Contribution of Nokia Bell Labs 4.2.3 5G Alliances 4.2.4 CIR’s Perspective on Nokia 4.3 Huawei 4.3.1 5G-related Products 4.3.2 5G Alliances 4.3.3 Impact of Current Political Problems 4.3.4 CIR’s Perspective on Huawei 4.4 ZTE 4.4.2 5G-related Products 4.4.3 5G Alliances 4.4.2 CIR’s Perspective on ZTE 4.5 Ciena 4.5.1 5G-related Products 4.5.2 CIR’s Perspective on Ciena 4.6 Infinera 4.6.1 5G-related Products 4.6.2 5G Alliances 4.6.3 CIR’s Perspective on Infinera 4.7 Analysis of the PON Supply Structure 4.8 Suppliers of Optical Cable for 5G Infrastructure 4.8.1 Corning 4.8.2 Prysmian Group 4.8.3 CommScope 4.8.4 Sterlite Technologies 4.8.5 Nexans 4.8.6 OFS/Furukawa 4.8.7 Sumitomo Electric Lightwave 4.8.8 Yangtze Optical Fiber (YOFC) 4.8.9 FujikuraAcronyms About the Author

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